Research At SCEPA
The Failure of COVAX: A Predictable Outcome
ARTICLE | This paper demonstrates that COVAX, the primary international public effort aimed at making yet-to-be-developed vaccines available to poorer countries, was outcompeted for limited supply of vaccines by richer counties who enjoy greater purchasing power.
Is There a Future for Heterodox Economics?
ARTICLE | This paper assesses economics research and teaching frameworks in the United States by examining how knowledge is produced and ranked, the flaws and strengths of heterodox economic theory; and how students are trained, especially for careers in economic policy.
Long-run Scarring Effects of Meltdowns in a Small-scale Nonlinear Quadratic Model
ARTICLE | Over the last few years, economists have focused on the long-run effects of persistent shocks on economic output.
The Substitution of Energy Sources – an Analysis of Short- and Long-term Economic Effects
ARTICLE | Recent controversies over the impact of an energy embargo on Russia triggered by Russia’s war in Ukraine have focused on reducing dependence on fossil fuels and reorganizing energy supplies.
Pandemic Meltdown and Economic Recovery – A Multi-Phase Dynamic Model
ARTICLE | This paper models economic output jointly with health outcomes as they pertain to the COVID pandemic, finding that a continuously varying control (i.e. the lockdown intensity) fares better than sporadically taken discrete-time decisions with lockdown intensity staying constant over some time intervals.
A Proposal for a Carbon Wealth Tax: Modelling, Empirics, and Policy
ARTICLE | This paper proposes a new type of tax to help finance (and accelerate) the green transition.
Value Creation, Capture, & Destruction
ARTICLE | Value capture schemes sound simple in theory – future revenues pay debt issued to cover upfront costs. But in practice, these financing mechanisms are highly complex and, as a result, can have unintended consequences on municipal finances.
Monopsony Power, Race, and Gender
ARTICLE | This article contributes to the literature on monopsony models by moving away from their emphasis on exogenous factors—worker preferences, incomplete information, and barriers— and focusing on these factors as the main drivers of monopsony power.
Optimal Control of a Global Model of Climate Change
ARTICLE | The economy-climate interaction and an appropriate mitigation policy for climate protection have been treated in various types of scientific modeling.
Credit, Output, and Financial Stress
ARTICLE | This paper highlights the role of credit performance in shaping economic performance and sheds new light on both the Brazilian boom in the 2000s and the economic contraction since 2015. Its results suggest that an active stance on public credit would have been instrumental in speeding up the economic recovery.
How to Reverse the EU's Division and Support Recovery
ARTICLE | How the European Union (EU) can recover its sense of common purpose after the Covid-19 crisis exacerbated division between and among member countries.
A New Approach to the Business Cycle
ARTICLE | SCEPA economists published research in an influential academic journal on the Keynesian multiplier, a hotly debated issue in progressive economics on the efficacy of fiscal policy and deficit spending in a recession.
Why Carbon Reduction Should Be a Public Service
ARTICLE | As the impacts of climate change – from wildfires to flooding – become impossible to ignore, calls to adapt our economy are joined by calls to remove and store existing carbon dioxide, a process known as carbon drawdown.
Record Demand for Germany's Debut Green Bond
ARTICLE | From SCEPA economists studying the economic impacts of climate change and mitigation policies show green bonds have great potential to help countries across the world increase environmental investments and reach emission targets.
How and Why COVID-19 Reconstruction Must Initiate the Great Green Transition
ARTICLE | A recent article from Intereconomics, co-authored by Willi Semmler, director of SCEPA’s Economics of Climate Change project, argues that as governments struggle to regain economic strength amid the coronavirus pandemic, reconstruction programs must initiate the great green transition.
Climate Change Policies And COVID-19 Relief Are Not Mutually Exclusive
ARTICLE | The Journal Makronom, based in Germany, recently published a piececo-authored by Economist Willi Semmler, director of SCEPA’s Economics of Climate Change project, on COVID-19 and climate change.
Economics and Climate Policy
ARTICLE | Germany’s Die Zeit, one of Germany’s most influential newspapers, featured the work of Economist Willi Semmler, director of SCEPA’s Economics of Climate Change project, on climate policy and strategy.
Green Financing: A Mixed Approach
ARTICLE | Adding green bonds to current carbon taxes is the most effective strategy to achieve global environmental goals, according to research by SCEPA economist Willi Semmler and economists at the Economics Research Institute in Berlin (DIW).
How Economic Shocks Exacerbate Retirement Inequality
ARTICLE | Workers in low-wage households are more likely to experience economic shocks and to withdraw from their retirement accounts, exacerbating pre-existing inequalities in the retirement savings system.
Income Shocks: Why Retirement Savings Fall Short
ARTICLE | For many, 401(k) accounts are used both to save for retirement and self-insure against income shocks prior to retirement.