Research At SCEPA
New in Cities Journal: "Selling TIF"
POLICY NOTE | Tax increment financing (TIF) is a long-standing and popular public financing tool in the U.S., but it’s starting to jump its borders.
Older Workers Are Forced Out of The Workforce
RESEARCH | New research shows that even before the COVID-19 recession, 55.3 percent of workers age 55 and up in the bottom half of the income distribution were forced to leave the workforce and 32.4 percent in the next 40% of the income distribution – the middle class – were forced out of work in old age.
The Pandemic Retirement Surge Increased Retirement Inequality
POLICY NOTE | Since March 2020, the size of the retired population in the U.S. expanded beyond its normal trend by an additional 1.7 million people.1
States that Re-Opened Early are "Trending Poorly"
POLICY NOTE | SCEPA’s latest policy note by Senior Fellow William M. Rodgers III, former chief economist at the US Department of Labor, highlights a potential headwind to recovery from COVID-19.
Larger Birth Cohort Lowers Wages
POLICY NOTE | The reduction in wages resulting from the increase in older workers provides a cautionary note to those advocating delayed retirement as a solution to the retirement savings crisis.
TTIP - A Good Deal?
POLICY NOTE | Since mid-2013, the US and EU have been negotiating a so-called free trade agreement, by now labeled “Transatlantic trade and investment partnership” or TTIP in short.
The New Racial Gap: Longevity in the Retirement Years
POLICY NOTE | In 1950, the United States could claim racial equity in one important respect - both black and white American men who reached age 65 could expect to live to 77.
The Role of Financial Stress in Debt and Recovery
POLICY NOTE | This research contradicts the highly cited Rienhart and Rogoff study, which states that debt higher than 90% of GDP will negatively affect a country's economic growth.
The Social Cost of Carbon Emissions
POLICY NOTE | In principle, the social cost of carbon emissions measures the overall impact of greenhouse gas emissions on societal well-being.
Transitioning to Renewable Energy
POLICY NOTE | Part of the public skepticism towards the transition to renewable energy and implementing mitigation policies is caused by the fear of job losses.
The Euro and the Sustainability of Current Account Imbalances
POLICY NOTE | This note offers policy recommendations based on empirical support that shows current account imbalances in the EMU are unsustainable and may jeopardize stability in the Euro Area.
Calculating Retirement Tax Expenditures 2010
POLICY NOTE | Knowing the size of tax expenditures provides a clear understanding of the size of the government and the reasons for $121 billion tax break for pensions.
Fiscal Arithmetic for Government Debt, Deficits, and Economics Growth
POLICY NOTE | Economic policy debate in the United States and other developed economies has been dominated by talk of lowering fiscal deficits through spending reductions.
Undercounting the Underemployed
POLICY NOTE | This paper calls into question standard measures of unemployment.
Off-Shoring, Insecurity and the Protectionist Threat
POLICY NOTE | Many have made the connection between growing insecurity and globalization, and in particular, the outsourcing of jobs.
How to Solve the U.S. Housing Problem and Avoid a Recession
POLICY NOTE | The Federal Reserve pumping in more liquidity and the government’s fiscal “stimulus” plan does not directly address the housing insolvency problem for millions of U.S. households.
Productivity and Unemployment in the Short and Long Run
POLICY NOTE | The relationship between productivity growth and unemployment has been debated since the birth of classical economics.
The Vast Majority Income (VMI)
POLICY NOTE | GDP per capita and the Human Development Index are known measures of development, but are averages and thus conceal wide disparities in the overall population.
The Stagnation of Male Wages
POLICY NOTE | For typical American male workers, there has been no general rise in wages since the late 1960s, with only short periods of modest improvement.
"Give a Man a Fish..." And Foreign Aid
POLICY NOTE | The Millennium Development Goals effort can only be successful if it puts economies on paths to sustained growth.